February 26th, 2007

An Ice Age versus Global Warming

 by Alan Caruba  
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History and science suggest that we are, in fact, on the brink of the next major, cyclical Ice Age and it is far more likely that the northern hemisphere will begin to cool.

The latest summary of yet another revised edition of a report by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Control has evoked all the usual fears predicting the deaths of millions by 2080, and other end of the world scenarios.

2080 is a mere 73 years from now. In meteorological terms, it is a blink of the eye. Real climatologists measure time far differently than the rest of us. While the IPCC, Al Gore, and the other fear mongers are warning of the horrors of Global Warming, it is useful to look at the time scales. The end of the last Ice Age was 11,500 ago.

It is also useful to keep in mind that the known cycle of time between Ice Ages is about 11,500 years. If you believe the fear mongers, in less than the lifetime of the average American, coastal cities will be under water. If the Ice Age cycle holds true, however, at some point it is far more likely that they will be under a thick sheet of ice.

Since we are at the end of an inter-glacial period, we are far closer to the next Ice Age than the last. Everything we call “civilization” has occurred since the last Ice Age. The rise of various empires began about five thousand years ago with Egypt initially being the most prominent.

Let me stipulate that none of the facts to be cited — taken from the open source of Wikipedia — will make any difference to those who are wedded to the global warmer’s end of the world scenario, though dying from too much ice is surely as unpleasant as dying from an over-heated planet.

The notion that humans can prevent either is so absurd as to defy belief, but it clearly doesn’t defy belief because millions have been convinced it can be done.

For now, it comes down to the amount of time in which Global Warming is predicted to end life on planet Earth. For the Global Warmers, the real agenda is not about somehow pumping all the carbon dioxide out of the atmosphere. Even they know it’s impossible. It is also an idiotic goal given the fact that all vegetation is totally dependent on CO2 for its existence. Take away vegetation, forests, jungles, and all crops, and you also remove all human and other species. For true believers, the real pollution of the Earth is the human race.

The real agenda of Global Warming is political and economic. The IPCC’s predictions are intended to stampede the legislation of vast restrictions on all use of energy. It is energy and “labor saving devices” that have transformed what we regard as the modern world. Take away electricity and we are all instantly transported back to the days when the Declaration of Independence was written by candlelight.

An Ice Age, says Wikipedia, “is a period of long-term reduction in the temperature of Earth’s climate, resulting in an expansion of the continental ice sheets, polar ice sheets and mountain glaciers.”

Bear in mind that real science is of little interest to Global Warming advocates. History, too, is a great nuisance because it inconveniently suggests they are lying through their teeth.

For example, there was a Little Ice Age that Wikipedia says occurred “approximately the 16th to the mid-19th centuries, while others suggest a span from the 13th to the 17th centuries. It is generally agreed that there were three minima, beginning about 1650, about 1770, and 1850, each separated by slight warming intervals.”

Prior to the Little Ice Age of some three centuries length there was the Medieval warm period, sometimes called the Climate Optimum because it was a period when more crops produced more food, populations expanded, life spans were extended, and, life for those in the northern hemisphere improved.

Remember the stories of Valley Forge where George Washington’s rag-tag Revolutionary Army damned near froze to death in the winter of 1777-1778? Think mini-ice age. The one that began again around 1850 didn’t end until around 1950, a century later.

Now apply a bit of common sense. If the last mini-ice age ended in 1950, does it not follow that the Earth has warmed since then? Yes, it has. Climate scientists agree it has warmed about one degree Fahrenheit. Is this cause for panic? No. Should we cease using oil, natural gas and coal? No.

The Global Warmers tell you that it will get worse barely seven decades from now, but history and science suggest that we are, in fact, on the brink of the next major, cyclical Ice Age and it is far more likely that the northern hemisphere will begin to cool. The really bad news is that this will occur quite rapidly once it begins.

For those with the wits to examine the history and science of climate, it is obvious that the Global Warmers are seeking to deceive whole nations and continents into the destruction of a thriving period of world trade and relative peace we call globalization.

Short range, this is occurring today in the Congress of the United States. It must not be allowed to happen and those behind it should be driven from public office at the earliest possible moment.

Environment, Animal Rights, Health Issues, & Drugs



Alan Caruba is the author of Right Answers: Separating Fact from Fantasy. His weekly commentaries are posted on the Internet site of The National Anxiety Center.
ACaruba@aol.com
http://www.anxietycenter.com/

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  1. The interesting thing to me, if the author is correct about his assertions, is that there will be billions of dollars spent (most of them by the US) mitigating the effects of global warming only to have an ice age arrive and lower the temperatures. The global warming zealots will claim that not only were they right, but that due to their efforts the planet is saved.

    Comment by Mountain Man | February 26, 2007

  2. Mr. Caruba, your commentary contains many logical errors. For example, you declare, "The IPCC’s predictions are intended to stampede the legislation of vast restrictions on all use of energy." Nowhere in the IPCC documents is this indicated. You are engaging in speculation as to the motives of the thousands of scientists who contributed to the IPCC process, and offering absolutely nothing in the way of evidence to support your speculation.

    The only evidence you offer to support your suggestion that we are more likely to face a new ice age is the cyclicity of ice ages — and you extrapolate the most recent time interval to the future, without any justification. Perhaps you are unaware of the variations in the lengths of both the many ice ages we have had and the intervals between them.

    I suggest that you consult the latest IPCC report and consider the mountains of evidence offered there. If you have specific criticisms of the scientific reasoning offered in the IPCC report, by all means present those criticisms. But what you offer here is lacking in intellectual substance.

    Comment by toopoo | March 4, 2007

  3. I agree with the comments made by 'toopoo'. Mr Caruba has provided no scientific
    evidence to support he's comments. If he wants to read some interesting
    real 'scientific information' on Global Warming then he should go to http://www.royalsoc.ac.uk
    -here he will find 12 answers to questions that are frequently asked and facts to
    support the IPCC report-this is the real scientific information!!

    Comment by Clurd | March 18, 2007

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