Tom McClintock cannot win.
How do I know this? Because I read the polls. The latest CNN/USA Today/Gallup Poll shows McClintock trailing badly with just 18% percent of the vote; Arnold Schwarzenegger leads Cruz Bustamante, 40% to 25%.
there is no reason to believe McClintock can overtake Schwarzenegger in the
next nine days. McClintock's best chance to make up ground was at last Wednesday's
debate, when he had an opportunity to confront Schwarzenegger and expose him
as just another Hollywood fraud. McClintock probably would have had
some success with this tactic; he knows California government inside and
out, while Schwarzenegger's grasp of policy is average at best. But McClintock
failed to attack Schwarzenegger at the debate; he chose instead to methodically
articulate conservative solutions to California's problems -- something most
Californians rarely hear -- and avoided confrontation with Schwarzenegger.
performance at the debate exceeded all expectations; he easily batted away
Arianna Huffington's gnat-like attacks and stayed "on message" the entire
evening. The politicians have overspent, the politicians have overspent.
McClintock is the best man for the job. First elected to the California
legislature at age twenty-six, he co-authored a bill that refunded $1.1 billion
to California taxpayers and is the author of California's lethal injection
death penalty law. He opposes California's car tax and has filed an
initiative to abolish it. He supports Proposition 54, the Racial Privacy
Initiative, which would prevent the government from collecting some racial
data. He is pro-life, opposes gay marriage and "civil unions," supports
gun rights, and has pledged to never raise taxes. He would almost certainly
be a better governor than Schwarzenegger.
on the other hand, supports civil unions and gun control. He is pro-abortion,
although he opposes partial-birth abortion and supports parental notification
with a judicial bypass. He is against illegal immigration, and opposes a bill
that would give illegal aliens driver's licenses. He supports California's
Three Strikes law and the death penalty, and his enthusiasm for "fiscal conservatism"
is well-known -- despite his refusal to sign a No New Taxes pledge.
With his mushy moderate/liberal record, Schwarzenegger is the type of candidate
many conservatives vote for while holding their nose.
claims he is in the race to the bitter end. On Thursday he said, "I made
a promise to the people that I was in this race to the finish line and I
keep my promises." But why is he staying in the race? Does he
really think he can win? Is he staying to prove a point? What,
exactly, is the point? Why does Tom McClintock believe he has a chance
to win, when almost the entire California Republican establishment has
thrown their support behind Schwarzenegger?
Here is a sampling of prominent Republicans and organizations who have endorsed Schwarzenegger over McClintock: