Are you ready?
The Press will be agape! Daschle will rush to the floor! Dean
will call for the return of … everything! Kerry will wave his fatigues
… yet again.
In the coming days, you will hear this everywhere.
First, Mohammad El Baradei will gather his IAEA council in executive session to discuss something of immense proportion.
He will tell those folks that Iran has had a secret nuclear program for several
years, which they lied about to anyone and everyone, including El Baradei
himself. He will pass around the signed confession of the Iranian Government.
The IAEA will vote to sanction Iran.
Immediately, the UN Security Council will go into Emergency Session to sanction
Iran. They will vote UNANIMOUSLY to embargo Iranian oil.
The Coalition armada is sitting out there slumbering. They are now positioning themselves for this blockade.
You would think, if you watch the global economy, that China would have vetoed
such a measure because virtually all the oil in Asia comes from Iran.
Listen to this …
Israeli Prime Minister Sharon conferred with President Bush in June.
Sharon has also been to Russia several times — the latest just last week.
He has been to China (June) and India (Sept). Bush has been to China
and Russia (May) as well. Bush also met with Jordan, Egypt and Qatar
in May. Deputy Defense Secretary Paul Wolfowitz was in Japan in May.
Putin has met all these players as well. The 6-way talks regarding
North Korea were lightly reported, but successful.
If you are following this cast of characters … wait just a moment more, and I will tie it altogether.
There is, you should remember, an oil pipeline that runs from Iran (the Red
Sea) across Israel to the Port of Ashkelon. (Ashkelon has that huge
electric generating station that will figure in a future column so remember
it.) Out in the deepwater port of Ashkelon is an oil station capable
of loading/unloading supertankers (VLCC – millions of barrels). This
Trans Israel Pipeline used to send oil from the Shah’s Iran to the Mediterranean
and has been unused in all these years. The Israelis, in the past several
months have been feverishly restoring this pipeline to usable condition …
to transport oil from the Mediterranean to the Red Sea. Got all that
Here’s the deal. At this very moment, a Russian VLCC is heading to
the Port of Ashkelon (Sharon met Putin) where it will offload that oil into
the TIP. The Trans Israel Pipeline will send it the other way to the Red
Sea, where it will be loaded onto other supertankers. This will then supply
China (Sharon in June, Bush in May & October) and India (Sharon in September)
and Japan (Wolfowitz in May).
The Asian countries would not be so receptive of such a plan, except they
see the whole of the plan. Each of them has said they would like to
be out from under the thumb of the Arab oil cartel. This is Russian
oil. Normally more expensive because in part, of the huge transport
costs, is now competitive because the Israeli connection makes the trip in
just 10 days. They have oil, they are happy.
Iran, which we know has been funding the attacks on the American GI’s in
Iraq and funding the Hezbollah attacks in Israel, now has no money coming
in. They can no longer afford to pay those handsome sums to out-of-work
Palestinians and Iraqi soldiers for their mischief. That will stop.
The Iranians will have no money to buy food.
YOU are gonna pay more for gasoline … for a month or so.
By January, the young Iranian cognoscenti already see the freer life in Iraq.
They remember the pre-Ayatollah days. With no food and no money in
the country, these educated masses are going to depose the mullahs.
Once that happens, the embargo will come down, Iranian oil will flow … Can
you smell $15/barrel oil?
Dan Glanz is a contributor to TooGood Reports and his weekly column is seen in newspapers across the country.