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Social Security Reform: To Extend or Unwind a Ponzi Scheme?
by Noel Sheppard
18 March 2005
Much as in the original Ponzi scheme, Social Security paid huge returns
to its first investors that, whether intentional or not, led Americans to
believe the plan worked marvelously.
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In the past several
months as the debate over Social Security reform has taken center stage in
the theater of the absurd that is modern American politics, the idea has
been floated that the entire pay-as-you-go structure of this system closely
resembles a Ponzi scheme, albeit one that is about to collapse.
In reality, few people likely have any idea what a Ponzi scheme is, nor how
closely America’s largest retirement system follows its tenets. As
such, according to the Securities and Exchange Commission:
Ponzi
schemes are a type of illegal pyramid scheme named for Charles Ponzi, who
duped thousands of New England residents into investing in a postage stamp
speculation scheme back in the 1920s. Ponzi thought he could take advantage
of differences between U.S. and foreign currencies used to buy and sell international
mail coupons. Ponzi told investors that he could provide a 40% return in
just 90 days compared with 5% for bank savings accounts. Ponzi was deluged
with funds from investors, taking in $1 million during one three-hour period
-- and this was 1921! Though a few early investors were paid off to make
the scheme look legitimate, an investigation found that Ponzi had only purchased
about $30 worth of the international mail coupons. Decades later, the
Ponzi scheme continues to work on the "rob-Peter-to-pay-Paul" principle,
as money from new investors is used to pay off earlier investors until the
whole scheme collapses.
Sound
eerily familiar? Want another shock? Well, much as in the original
Ponzi scheme, Social Security also paid huge returns to its first investors
that, whether intentional or not, led Americans to believe the plan worked
marvelously, thereby engendering the support of an exceedingly grateful nation.
For instance, the first American to ever receive a check from this new national
savings plan was Ernest Ackerman, a streetcar motorman from Cleveland, Ohio,
who retired exactly one day after the program went into effect. For
the five cents that was deducted from Mr. Ackerman’s check the sole day he
was a “participant,” he received a lump-sum payment of 17 cents. This
was a 240% return, which annualizes out to 87,600%. Nice investing,
Ernie.
Then, in 1939, a series of changes were made to this new retirement system
that included moving up the start of monthly payments by two years.
As a result, the first monthly Social Security check went out on January
31, 1940 to Ida May Fuller, a retired legal secretary from Ludlow, Vermont.
This maiden disbursement was $22.54, which, according to Social Security Online,
after cost of living increases and 35 years of receipts until her death in
1975, totaled a startling $22,888.92 in payments from a system to which Mrs.
Fuller contributed a remarkable $24.75.
Now, please bear in mind that Mr. Ponzi was only promising people a 40% return
on their money in 90 days. By contrast, the first Social Security recipients
received yields approaching 100,000 percent.
Unfortunately, few participants in a Ponzi scheme ever achieve such spectacular
returns, and the whole scam invariably implodes when the REAL investors have
the nerve to ask for their money back. For instance, when regulators
finally shut Mr. Ponzi’s operation down in 1920, they were only able to recover
$1.59 million. Sadly, this was a small pittance compared to the $15
million he owed his 40,000 investors, not including the interest he had promised
them.
This makes it quite logical that 70 years after our government implemented
a Ponzi scheme of its own -- remarkably just fifteen years after the first
one imploded -- the real investors (nee, the baby boomers who have paid into
this program since they received their first paychecks while absorbing numerous
increases to the required contributions) are concerned that there won’t be
enough money available to fund their own retirements.
Naturally, irrespective of the protestations of those who seem able to attain
high office in our nation without possessing even the most rudimentary arithmetic
acumen, these fears are warranted. Yet, now that the flaws in this
equation have finally been exposed, the debate is unconscionably focused
on the machinations of extending this scheme rather than if and how we should
unwind it.
After all, as the best returns from this plan have already been realized
by folks like Mrs. Fuller and Mr. Ackerman -- as well as millions of seniors
in the past seventy years who received yields on their contributions that
can’t possibly be replicated -- shouldn’t the rest of us who CAN add one
plus one without difficulty be entitled to opt out of this investment nightmare?
Such a question becomes even more appropriate considering the gags yet to
be played in this inhumane comedy in the form of neatly disguised -- yet
predictable -- Democratic solutions to avert the imminent crisis they maintain
is neither imminent nor a crisis. To date, these options comprise increasing
the Social Security tax cap above its current $90,000 threshold, and eliminating
the 2003 tax-cuts on the wealthiest wage earners.
As a result, no matter how you slice it, their “solution” is to ONCE AGAIN
demand that people pay additional funds into this failing system above and
beyond what was originally dictated by statute. Isn’t this despicably
akin to regulators asking the folks who were defrauded by Mr. Ponzi to contribute
more to his scheme in the hopes that this would avert insolvency and increase
the likelihood that they’d eventually get their money back?
Noel Sheppard is a business owner, economist, and writer residing in Northern California.
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