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An Opportunity for Conservative Senators
by W. James Antle III
18 July 2005
With Rudy Giuliani and John McCain
considered front-runners in 2008, the GOP field has a void on the right.
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George W. Bush
is no green-eyeshade Republican. He has presided over the biggest
inflation-adjusted federal spending binge since Lyndon Johnson. A
Cato Institute policy analysis published in May concluded that even
excluding defense and homeland security expenditures, Bush is the
biggest-spending president of the last 30 years.
So what does the Republican-controlled Senate do? Outspend him.
USA Today reported that Senate Republicans were recoiling from the
administration’s proposed budget cuts. GOP appropriators, led by
such old-timers as Senator Thad Cochran of Mississippi, are busting
through discretionary spending caps by $12 billion and planned cuts are
being transformed into spending increases.
Your party of limited government and fiscal responsibility at work.
To some, this is the price of Republicans wielding power. When
Congress passed the Medicare prescription-drug benefit, the biggest new
federal entitlement in 30 years, New York Times columnist David Brooks
wrote, “This week the G.O.P. behaved as a majority party in full.”
The majority in the upper chamber has been especially quick to leave
grassroots conservatives behind. As a whole, Senate Republicans
are to the left of their House colleagues on spending, taxes and social
issues.
This creates an opportunity for the Republican politician who dares to
stand with his party’s conservative activists, phone-bank workers and
envelope-stuffers. Nearly every senator is a potential
presidential candidate and the contest for the 2008 Republican
nomination is wide open. With Rudy Giuliani and John McCain
considered front-runners, the GOP field has a void on the right.
Conservatives can benefit if senators compete to be their ’08 candidate.
It wouldn’t be unprecedented. Over a decade ago, when Bill and
Hillary Clinton unveiled their national health-insurance plan, many GOP
congressional leaders were initially inclined to negotiate.
Then-Senate Minority Leader Bob Dole signed onto a scaled-back
alternative crafted by liberal Republican Senator John Chaffee.
Then-Senator Phil Gramm, seeking to establish himself as the
conservatives’ candidate in the next presidential election, came out
swinging. He organized a traveling panel of senators and
congressmen to tour the country and rally opposition to the Clintons’
proposal. He rejected compromise and the very idea of
government-provided national health insurance. Dole, himself a
presidential aspirant, was forced to protect his right flank by moving
in Gramm’s direction.
As 1994 wore on, conservatives were able to decimate public support for
Hillarycare. The bill died a slow, painful death. And it
all happened when Republicans were still in the minority in both houses
of Congress.
The ensuing Dole-Gramm competition to establish right-wing bona fides
also defeated a controversial surgeon-general nominee opposed by
pro-life activists, pushed welfare-reform bills to the right and
somewhat increased the pace of conservative legislation in a Senate
notorious for its inaction on the House’s Contract with America items.
Conservative senators, empowered by such procedural tools as the
filibuster and the hold, could make a similar effort to ingratiate
themselves with their party’s base. They could exert pressure
from the right on judges, spending and cultural issues. And in
the process they could make themselves more serious presidential
contenders.
There are, of course, some reasons Senate conservative activism might
not be as viable today as in 1993-96. For one, right-wing
firebrands would be revolting against their own president and party
leadership instead of Bill Clinton. Second, Gramm was able to
credibly threaten Dole’s conservative credentials because he was widely
considered a top-tier candidate in a way that the senators
best-positioned to follow in his footsteps -- Sam Brownback, Rick
Santorum -- are not.
Finally, even party activists don’t always follow Capitol Hill minutiae
closely enough that such maneuvers will necessarily pay the requisite
political dividends. Gramm was trounced in the early 1996
primaries. Voters seeking a conservative alternative to Bob Dole
looked elsewhere.
Yet this race will be different, without a Reagan, Bush or Dole.
Instead there are many relatively unknown contenders, some of them
ideologues looking for a bully pulpit while others have key GOP voting
blocs to reassure. To advance their own interests, these
prospective candidates would do well to advance conservative causes.
Rank-and-file conservative voters are looking for leadership.
Republican senators who desire to be president -- and wish to overcome
the electorate’s preference for governors over legislators -- have an
opportunity.
Who among them will rise up and seize it?
W. James Antle III is a primary columnist for Intellectual Conservative.com. He works as an assistant editor of The American Conservative magazine and is also a senior editor of EnterStageRight.com. The views expressed here represent his alone.
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