Can Cruz Close on His New Hampshire Rivals? Enter the Ethanol Factor

ethnlsbsdsThe New Hampshire presidential primary is just a few days away and Donald Trump has held a double-digit lead there for the past 30 weeks. Historically, this is the most important early primary in the country; of the last 20 winners of the New Hampshire primary, 15 went on to win their party’s nomination. Mike Huckabee and Rick Santorum won the last two Iowa Republican caucuses, but lost New Hampshire and ultimately the nomination.

John H. Sununu once said that Iowa picks corn and New Hampshire picks presidents. However, George W. Bush and Bob Dole both won Iowa, lost New Hampshire and still went on to win the GOP nomination. Going back to 1976, Iowa and New Hampshire have split the GOP nominee choice six times. In two cases, the Iowa pick won. In four of those cases, the New Hampshire pick won.

This year the GOP field remains unusually crowded and the Trump candidacy is unusual in all kinds of ways, so it’s hard to say if New Hampshire is still a bellwether, but there’s no denying it’s a prize, and there’s no denying Trump holds a daunting lead in the New Hampshire polls at the moment. Cruz will have his work cut out for him even finishing second. He’s currently clustered with a group of three other candidates (Kasich, Rubio and Bush) hovering around the 10% mark.

Read the rest of the article at The Stream

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