The Rise of the Seventh Party System and Political Troika

Political Trifecta

In light of the rapid disintegration of the GOP, further noise of the rise of a third party grows louder each time Donald Trump is seen on television. No doubt, of course, this would prove earth-shattering in a manner never witnessed in American politics. At no time in our history has a system dominated by three parties been applied, nor even true attempts having merited acknowledgment. But what if today is the moment to write a parable unprecedented in America’s 408 year history upon the first permanent settlement at Jamestown? Conventional wisdom may disagree with ideas for progression, yet no man succeeds conquering the impossible without guiding stubbornly by his convictions, who dreams of greatness and asks “why not?”

Popular support for a third political party is evident. Fewer Democrats are disenfranchised due to the party’s eternal proviso of a quid pro quo.  The prospects Tea Party officials only now acknowledge could lead to the implosion of the Republican National Convention at the hands of its own alienated foundation.

Americans Self Identified Political Ideology

In September 2014, Gallup reported 58 percent of American favor the rise of a third political party. While the entire political spectrum is polarized, none approach the ire of the conservative majority. By 2014, more identified as independents than ever. The overwhelming majority of GOP voters are staunchly conservative, while Democrats are broken on far more pernicious grounds. Democrats lead among independents by a 44 percent to 43 percent margin. Still more exciting are 33 percent of independents identify themselves as “conservatives” more likely to be politically-alienated. Only 21 percent of independents say they are “liberals”.  

The GOP establishment’s curious shift towards leftist class warfare is demonstrative of their commitment to disengage its conservative majority legitimizing it, and of a full political marriage to the Democratic Party. What few will acknowledge among establishment Republicans or Democrats are the categorically catastrophic consequences to the duopoly unifying into a full oligarchic plutocracy.

Americans Opinion of a Need for a Third Political Party

A third party would not merely splinter the GOP, but result in two possible conclusions. One is the GOP would capsize, with 70 percent of its party membership alongside the emergence of libertarians finding reason to leave the party and join a Tea Party-backed platform. The second is the Democrats, who also face rising discontent among voters, may devolve into one faction of far left-wing statists (Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, Kirsten Gillibrand, etc.). Lastly are the GOP moderates and those traditionally referred to as “blue dog” Democrats with considerable conservative and what once were liberal leanings. A full, fundamental transformation of the American two-party hierarchy might appear below in the form of a troika.

  • Far Left (Liberal/Democratic Socialist): 5 percent of GOP voters, 36 percent of Independent voters, 44 percent of Democrat voters.
  • Moderate/Centrist Republicans and Democrats: 41 percent of Democrat voters, 36 of Independent voters, 24 percent of GOP voters.
  • Right-Wing (Conservatives and Libertarians): 70 percent of GOP voters, 33 percent of Independent voters, 19 percent of Democrat voters.

Rising discontent among the electorate correlates to Donald Trump’s pledge to run on a third party ticket should the party continue to hinder his campaign. By an overwhelming margin, 71 percent of those polled identified as Republicans desire a third party according to Gallup.

Support for Political Party by Political Affiliations

In analyzing these data, one may conclude the following.

  • Approximately 47 percent of Republicans desire the rise of a third political party due to disenfranchisement. Among the total composite sample, 27.26 percent of the 58 percent of Americans calling for a third party are registered Republicans.
  • Approximately 71 percent of Independents support a new third political party. Among the 58 percent of Americans in total supporting the rise of a third political party, 41.28 percent of the total sample would correlate to the general population should such a trend be inferred.
  • Approximately 46 percent of Democrats support the rise of a third political party for the same reason as GOP voters. Of the 58 percent of Americans in this sample who would support a three-party system, 26.68 percent would be aligned presently as Democrats.

Of those who are independent, one may conclude with reasonable certainty the following regarding voter demographics.

  • Approximately 33 percent of independents are identified as “conservative”. Of this sample, 23.43 percent would trend towards a conservative political platform who currently do not identify with any party. In adding together the percentages, 50.69 percent of the total electorate would support the rise of a third political party under a strong conservative platform.
  • Only 19 percent of independents consider themselves “liberals”. From this, 13.49 percent of the 71 percent supporting a third political party are liberals. In total, 40.17 percent of the independents supporting a third party are avowed “liberals”.
  • The battleground for political electoral capital resides with the moderates, which comprise of the remaining 9.52 percent of declared independents with no particular ideological affiliation.
  • Total support for a third political party system indicate conservatives a statistic advantage. The final tally specifically supports further study by all ideological affiliations.
    • 50.69 percent of all ideological affiliations who would support a third party are conservatives.
    • 40.17 percent of all ideological affiliations who would support a third party are liberals.

The samples for national political ideological affiliations (2014) polled 16,479 adults age 18 and older from all 50 states and the District of Columbia. The margin of error is ±1 percentage point at the 95 percent confidence level. For the study on support for a third party, telephone interviews were conducted Sept. 4-7, 2014, with a random sample of 1,017 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. The margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points at the 95  percent confidence level.

A Seventh Party system based on a political troika is an intriguing concept. Even if one party did not dominate the public discourse, it would narrow the American people’s search to identify ideologically with a party which is far left, one catering to moderates/centrists and a third built of conservatives/libertarians. The imperative to kill the welfare state would greatly accelerate. It is more likely a halt to the state’s expansion could happen due to political gridlock inhibiting the frequency of legislation. For now though, I am content tracking the GOP authoring its own demise through political suicide.

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